Reza Dehghani; hassan torabi; hojatolah younesi; babak shahinejad
Abstract
River flow prediction is one of the key issues in the management and planning of water resources, in particular the adoption of proper decisions in the event of floods and droughts. To predict the flow rate of rivers, various approaches have been introduced in hydrology, the most important of which are ...
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River flow prediction is one of the key issues in the management and planning of water resources, in particular the adoption of proper decisions in the event of floods and droughts. To predict the flow rate of rivers, various approaches have been introduced in hydrology, the most important of which are the intelligent models. In this study, a hybrid, model wavelet- support vector machine, was applied to estimate the discharge of Dez river basin based on the daily discharge statistics provided by the hydrometric stations located at the upstream of the dam during the statistical period (2008-2018) and its performance was compared with the support vector machine model. The correlation coefficients, root mean square error, and mean absolute error was used for evaluation and a comparison of the performance of models. The results showed that the hybrid structures presented acceptable outcomes in the modeling of river discharge. A comparison of models also showed that the hybrid model of wavelet -support vector machine has a better performance in forecasting the flow. In conclusion, the use of the WSVM model could be effective in estimating flood peak discharge.
Elham Rezaei; Babak Shahinejad; Hojatola Yonesi
Abstract
One of the important issues in rivers qualitative discussion is the prediction of amount of Total Dissolved Solids (TDS) in water. In this study, the performance of the intelligent models Support Vector Machines (SVM) with different kernel functions, Gene Expression Programming (GEP) and Bayesian Network ...
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One of the important issues in rivers qualitative discussion is the prediction of amount of Total Dissolved Solids (TDS) in water. In this study, the performance of the intelligent models Support Vector Machines (SVM) with different kernel functions, Gene Expression Programming (GEP) and Bayesian Network (BN) was investigated in the prediction of amount of total dissolved solids (TDS) in Kashkan River. For this purpose, quality parameters obtained monthly from Poldokhtar station in Lorestan Province from year 1991 to 2016, including hydrogen carbonate, chloride, sulfate, magnesium, calcium, sodium, electric conductivity, flow rate and PH these parameters were applied to predict the amount of total dissolved sediments of water in this reach. Correlation Coefficient (CC), Nash-Sutcliff coefficient (NS), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and bias were used to evaluate the performance of the models. The results showed that in all three models, the combined structures have acceptable accuracy. Also, based on the evaluation criteria, Support Vector Machines with kernel of the radial base functions (RBF) had the highest accuracy 0.982 and the lowest root mean square error (mg / lit) 0.232, and the lowest bias 0.001 and the Nissan Sutcliff coefficient 0.963 compared to other models.
